The United States (US) administration has announced1 imposition of reciprocal tariffs on imports from key trade partners of the US. Citing concerns surrounding economic security with reliance placed on differentiated tariff rates, non-tariff barriers of trade partners, etc. the executive order issued notes large and persistent annual US goods trade deficit, posing a threat to the US national security.
These reciprocal tariffs are effectuated as ‘additional ad valorem duty’ over and above the existing tariffs for imports into the US. Starting 5 April 2025, the additional ad valorem tariff of 10% is applied on all imports entering the US [excluding United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA) covered goods].
Additional country specific tariffs have also been notified for imports from 57 countries, which will take effect from 9 April 2025. For these countries, the base rate will further increase from 10% to the country specific rates, some of which are cumulatively tabulated below.
Table 1 – Reciprocal Tariffs imposed by the US
S. No. | Country | Country specific tariff notified for effectuation from 9 April 2025 |
1. | Bangladesh | 37% |
2. | China | 34% |
3. | European Union | 20% |
4. | India | 26% |
5. | Indonesia | 32% |
6. | Japan | 24% |
7. | Malaysia | 24% |
8. | South Korea | 26% |
9. | Thailand | 37% |
10. | Vietnam | 46% |
The key highlights of the US tariff measures are as follows:
These tariffs are calculated as the tariff rate necessary to balance bilateral trade deficits between the US and the respective trading partner. Moreover, the tariff rates are over and above the prevailing import duty rates in the US. For the purposes of understanding the impact of these tariffs, two illustrative examples are as follows:
The reciprocal country specific tariffs become applicable on imports of some electronic goods into the US from 9 April 2025. For a few countries, the exports of electronic goods into the US would attract tariffs as shown below.
Table 2 – Exports of electronic goods into the US from various countries
Country | Tariff rate on 2 April 2025 | Tariff rate on 5 April 2025 | Tariff rate on 9 April 2025 |
China | 20% | 20% + 10% | 20% + 34% = 54% |
India | 0% | 10% | 10% + 16% = 26% |
Viet Nam | 0% | 10% | 10% + 36% = 46% |
Thailand | 0% | 10% | 10% + 27% = 37% |
The cumulative valuation of tariffs as applicable on imports of diamonds into the US is as follows:
Table 3 – Exports of Diamonds into the US from various countries
Country | Tariff rate on 2 April 2025 | Tariff rate on 5 April 2025 | Tariff rate on 9 April 2025 |
Israel | 0% | 10% | 10% + 7% = 17% |
India | 0% | 10% | 10% + 16% = 26% |
Belgium | 0% | 10% | 10% + 10% = 20% |
Switzerland | 0% | 10% | 10% + 22% = 32% |
It is also important to note that while ‘most’ products have been included within the scope of reciprocal tariff imposition, some products have been excluded from the ambit of its application as well. Some of these exclusions include -
The executive order also notes that the ad valorem rates apply only to the non-US content of any subject article, provided it is at least 20% of the value of the subject article. This means, if the imported product contains more than 20% or more of ‘US Content’ (components produced or substantially transformed in the US), the tariff applies only to the non–US portion. This could imply variation of reciprocal rates as per the extent of US content, as indicated below
Table 4 – Variability of applicable reciprocal tariff rates depending on US Content
S. No. | Extent of US Content in the product exported to the US from India | Reciprocal Tariff rate applicable |
1. | Less than 20% | 26% |
2. | 40% | 15.6% |
3. | 60% | 10.4% |
The table below shows that the impact of Reciprocal Tariffs depends on the product in question. In some cases, the tariff arbitrage could be favourable depending on the competing trade partners, and in some it might be relatively modest.
S. No. | Description | India’s exports to US (2023, $Bn) | %age share | US Existing Tariff | Tariff effective from 9 April 2025 (India) | Tariff effective from 9 April 2025 (top competitor) | Remarks (IndiaCompetitive Advantage, Yes or No) |
1. | Precious or semi-precious stones | 9.93 | 13.10% | 0-13.5% | 26% | Switzerland 31% | Yes |
2. | Electrical machinery and equipment | 7.37 | 9.72% | 0% | 26% | China 54% | Yes |
3. | Pharmaceutical | 7.07 | 9.33% | 0% | Exempted | Status-quo | |
4. | Petroleum Products | 6.27 | 8.27% | 0% | Exempted | Status-quo | |
5. | Textiles/ Apparels | 3.72 | 4.91% | 0-12% | 26% | China 54% | Yes |
6. | Marine Products | 2.21 | 2.92% | 10% | 26% | Chile 10% | No |
7. | Machinery and mechanical appliances | 2.19 | 2.90% | 0-3.8% | 26% | China 54% | Yes |
8. | Vehicles and parts and accessories thereof | 1.52 | 2.01% | 0-27.5% | 25%1 | Status-quo | |
9. | Articles of iron or steel | 1.13 | 1.49% | 0% | 25%2 | Status-quo | |
10. | Chemical products | 0.69 | 0.91% | 0-6.5% | 26% | Germany 10% | No |
Total | 75.8 | 100% |
Note: 1 and 2. 25% tariff under separate order, has already come into force, but for auto component (additional tariff to be implemented no later than 3 May 2025).
As the Indian Government will be exploring various avenues for redressal vis-à-vis tariffs imposed by the US through the ongoing Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) negotiation, it becomes very crucial for the businesses to voice their opinion to the government about specific reliefs.
Moreover, it is also important to analyse the supply chain for the cost impact as well as the impact of competitive landscape. Overall, businesses may consider the following strategy as a way forward:
Businesses at large would also want to re-work their operations based on the IDEA Framework, which provides a structured approach to navigate trade uncertainties and leverage emerging opportunities. This can be accessed from here.